Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 8.217429 9.172295 10.249532 11.566797 13.150792 15.016154 17.412747
2025-01-05 6.569392 7.752249 9.206919 11.170406 13.822935 17.397627 22.804155
2025-01-12 5.595091 6.823218 8.414567 10.702039 14.044915 19.011979 27.559889
2025-01-19 4.973005 6.213485 7.885075 10.408162 14.337562 20.683714 32.982162
2025-01-26 4.579236 5.842552 7.604297 10.382973 14.975073 23.022233 40.693411
2025-02-02 4.480295 5.856483 7.854400 11.177465 17.094351 28.649167 59.071512
2025-02-09 4.316690 5.752799 7.906699 11.651351 18.764509 34.113134 82.792075
2025-02-16 4.080928 5.515156 7.718022 11.676706 19.582052 38.083917 107.502748
2025-02-23 3.935365 5.398414 7.703926 12.000823 21.082716 44.504379 154.553327
2025-03-02 3.665895 5.066082 7.300958 11.543923 20.780495 45.889603 181.011385
2025-03-09 3.455201 4.811416 7.004987 11.250925 20.789308 48.265419 222.246742
2025-03-16 3.303556 4.640306 6.835446 11.180826 21.312379 52.646250 300.631105
2025-03-23 3.211933 4.574363 6.866854 11.574413 23.258491 64.261799 591.498114
2025-03-30 3.007959 4.311832 6.531301 11.170185 23.045826 67.570674 856.225815
2025-04-06 2.816165 4.056864 6.187463 10.701491 22.540131 69.361546 1198.974905
2025-04-13 2.666192 3.862797 5.938780 10.407619 22.469401 73.413597 2043.295047
2025-04-20 2.564221 3.743670 5.818331 10.382432 23.204452 82.808770 6492.155547
2025-04-27 2.566785 3.803829 6.039607 11.176862 26.858167 117.451358 NaN
2025-05-04 2.529765 3.791327 6.118843 11.650709 29.712233 156.972392 NaN
2025-05-11 2.449404 3.695893 6.024581 11.676062 30.937695 186.979052 NaN
2025-05-18 2.402974 3.658695 6.044249 12.000153 33.554407 250.207663 NaN
2025-05-25 2.289235 3.491994 5.784854 11.543290 32.651027 255.606252 NaN
2025-06-01 2.197412 3.361688 5.593273 11.250316 32.412602 275.034750 NaN